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Key Election Indicators

Key Election Indicators

Next, please tell me whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of each of the following parties. How about -- [ITEMS ROTATED]?

The Republican Party

 

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

%

%

%

2006 Oct 6-8

37

55

8

2006 Sep 7-10

42

53

4

2006 Jul 28-30

43

50

8

2006 Apr 28-30

36

58

5

2005 Dec 16-18

45

48

7

2005 Oct 13-16

40

50

10

2005 Sep 8-11

45

45

10

2005 Jul 22-24

46

45

9

2005 Apr 1-2

50

44

6

2005 Feb 25-27

51

42

7

2005 Feb 4-6

56

39

5

2004 Sep 13-15

55

41

4

2004 Sep 3-5

53

40

7

2004 Aug 23-25 ^

50

41

9

2004 Jul 30-Aug 1

47

45

8

2004 Jul 19-21 ^

50

43

7

2004 Jan 29-Feb 1

48

45

7

2004 Jan 2-5

52

40

8

2003 Sep 8-10

50

44

6

2003 Mar 29-30

56

33

11

2003 Jan 3-5

51

38

11

2002 Dec 16-17

51

38

11

2002 Nov 8-10

54

38

8

2002 Oct 21-22

53

35

12

2002 Sep 5-8

54

40

6

2002 Jul 26-28

55

36

9

2002 Jan 11-14

61

30

9

2001 Sep 7-10

47

48

5

2000 Nov 13-15

49

43

8

2000 Aug 4-5

54

37

9

2000 Jul 25-26

49

39

12

2000 Jan 7-10

53

41

6

1999 Nov 18-21

50

44

6

1999 Apr 30-May 2

47

44

9

1999 Feb 19-21

45

46

9

1999 Feb 12-13

40

54

6

1999 Feb 4-8

45

47

8

1999 Jan 8-10

40

52

8

1998 Dec 19-20

31

57

12

1998 Dec 15-16

43

47

10

1997 Oct 27-29

50

42

8

1996 Aug 30-Sep 1 †

50

45

5

1996 Aug 16-18 †

55

41

3

1996 Aug 5-7 †

51

44

5

1996 Apr 9-10

52

41

7

1995 Apr 17-19

52

42

6

1992 Jul 6-8 †

53

39

8

^

Asked of a half sample.

Based on registered voters.



The Democratic Party

 

Favorable

Unfavorable

No opinion

%

%

%

2006 Oct 6-8

52

38

10

2006 Sep 7-10

54

40

5

2006 Jul 28-30

52

40

8

2006 Apr 28-30

48

45

8

2005 Dec 16-18

46

45

9

2005 Oct 13-16

52

36

12

2005 Sep 8-11

47

41

12

2005 Jul 22-24

52

38

10

2005 Apr 1-2

50

42

8

2005 Feb 25-27

52

41

7

2005 Feb 4-6

46

47

7

2004 Sep 13-15

49

45

6

2004 Sep 3-5

50

41

9

2004 Aug 23-25 ^

54

36

10

2004 Jul 30-Aug 1

55

37

8

2004 Jul 19-21 ^

48

41

11

2004 Jan 29-Feb 1

59

34

7

2004 Jan 2-5

47

44

9

2003 Sep 8-10

49

45

6

2003 Mar 29-30

49

39

12

2003 Jan 3-5

52

36

12

2002 Dec 16-17

52

37

11

2002 Nov 8-10

48

42

10

2002 Oct 21-22

58

30

12

2002 Sep 5-8

56

38

6

2002 Jul 26-28

55

34

11

2002 Jan 11-14

55

33

12

2001 Sep 7-10

56

38

6

2000 Nov 13-15

53

38

9

2000 Aug 4-5

53

38

9

2000 Jul 25-26

56

35

9

2000 Jan 7-10

61

33

6

1999 Nov 18-21

51

41

8

1999 Apr 30-May 2

53

37

10

1999 Feb 19-21

55

37

8

1999 Feb 12-13

56

38

6

1999 Feb 4-8

57

37

6

1999 Jan 8-10

57

35

8

1998 Dec 19-20

57

30

13

1998 Dec 15-16

58

32

10

1997 Oct 27-29

54

39

7

1996 Aug 30-Sep 1 †

60

36

4

1996 Aug 16-18 †

55

41

4

1996 Aug 5-7 †

57

38

5

1996 Apr 9-10

55

38

7

1995 Apr 17-19

51

43

6

1992 Jul 6-8 †

54

38

8

^

Asked of a half sample.

Based on registered voters.



How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for Congress this year -- will it be -- extremely important, very important, moderately important, or not that important? How about -- [RANDOM ORDER]?

A. Corruption in government

 

Extremely
important

Very
important

Moderately
important

Not that
important

No
opinion

%

%

%

%

%

2006 Oct 6-8

48

38

11

2

1

2006 Jun 23-25

49

36

12

3

1

2006 Jan 6-8

43

38

15

3

1

2005 Oct 21-23

45

36

15

3

1



B. The economy

 

2006 Oct 6-8

40

42

16

2

*

2006 Jun 23-25

45

40

13

2

1

2006 Jan 6-8

38

45

14

1

1

2005 Oct 21-23

43

41

15

1

*

2002 Sep 20-22 ^

37

44

17

2

*

2002 Aug 19-21 ^

34

44

17

3

2

^

WORDING: Economic conditions



C. Gas prices

 

 

2006 Oct 6-8

34

31

25

10

*

2006 Jun 23-25

41

32

19

8

*

2006 Jan 6-8

33

33

26

8

1

2005 Oct 21-23

41

29

22

8

*



D. Health care

 

2006 Oct 6-8

43

37

15

4

1

2006 Jun 23-25

44

36

17

3

*

2006 Jan 6-8

43

39

15

2

1

2005 Oct 21-23

42

37

18

3

*

2002 Sep 20-22 ^

35

39

22

4

*

^

Asked of a half sample.



E. Immigration

 

2006 Oct 6-8

33

32

23

11

1

2006 Jun 23-25

33

32

23

11

1

2006 Jan 6-8

26

35

29

9

1



F. The situation in Iraq

 

2006 Oct 6-8

48

38

11

2

1

2006 Jun 23-25

55

34

8

3

1

2006 Jan 6-8

45

40

11

3

1

2005 Oct 21-23

44

37

13

4

2



G. Terrorism

 

2006 Oct 6-8

48

36

12

4

1

2006 Jun 23-25

47

34

15

4

*

2006 Jan 6-8

45

35

16

3

1

2005 Oct 21-23

45

32

19

4

*

2002 Sep 20-22 ^

47

36

13

3

1

^

Asked of a half sample.



H. Moral standards in the country

 

2006 Oct 6-8

36

34

18

11

1



Do you think the Republicans in Congress or the Democrats in Congress would do a better job of dealing with each of the following issues and problems? How about -- [RANDOM ORDER]?

A. Corruption in government

 

 



Republicans



Democrats

No difference (vol.)


No
opinion

%

%

%

%

2006 Oct 6-8

28

49

16

7

2006 Jan 20-22 ^

31

40

19

10

2006 Jan 6-8 ^

32

44

19

6

2005 Oct 21-23

33

44

18

5

^

Asked as a stand alone question; not in rotation with other issues.



B. The economy

 

2006 Oct 6-8

36

54

7

4

2006 Mar 10-12

38

53

4

5

2005 Oct 21-23

38

50

9

3

2003 Jul 18-20

36

53

7

4

2003 Jan 3-5

43

42

10

5

2002 Jul 26-28

37

42

13

8

2002 Jun 28-30

44

40

10

6

2002 May 28-29 ^

43

34

13

10

^

Asked of a half sample.



C. Gas prices

 

 

2006 Oct 6-8

28

54

11

7

2005 Oct 21-23

31

51

13

5



D. Health care

 

2006 Oct 6-8

25

62

8

4

2005 Oct 21-23

30

59

7

4

2003 Jan 3-5 ^ †

35

50

9

6

^

Asked of a half sample.

WORDING: Health care costs



E. Immigration

 

2006 Oct 6-8

34

47

12

8



F. The situation in Iraq

 

2006 Oct 6-8

35

52

6

7

2006 Mar 10-12

40

48

6

6

2005 Oct 21-23

40

46

10

4

2003 Jul 18-20

51

36

7

6

2003 Jan 3-5 ^

53

29

12

6

^

Asked of a half sample.



G. Terrorism

 

2006 Oct 6-8

41

46

7

6

2006 Mar 10-12

45

41

7

7

2005 Oct 21-23

49

38

9

4

2003 Jul 18-20

55

29

10

6

2003 Jan 3-5 ^

55

27

13

5

2002 Oct 21-22

52

23

14

11

2002 Sep 20-22 ^

56

27

10

7

2002 Jun 28-30

57

22

13

8

2002 May 28-29 ^

51

19

19

11

^

Asked of a half sample.



D. Moral standards in the country

 

2006 Oct 6-8

37

44

13

6



Which ONE of the following issues is MOST important to you when you think about your vote for Congress this year – [ROTATED: economic conditions, health care, the situation in Iraq, illegal immigration, terrorism (or) education]?

 


2006 Sep 15-17

Likely
voters

Registered voters

National adults

%

%

%

The situation in Iraq

27

26

27

Terrorism

19

17

16

Economic conditions

18

18

18

Illegal immigration

14

13

13

Healthcare

10

11

11

Education

7

9

9

Other (vol.)

3

2

2

None (vol.)

1

1

1

No opinion

2

2

2



Do you think the Republicans in Congress or the Democrats in Congress would do a better job of dealing with this issue?

 



Republicans



Democrats

No difference (vol.)


No
opinion

%

%

%

%

Likely Voters

2006 Sep 15-17 ^

42

44

8

6

2002 Oct 3-6

41

42

10

7

Registered Voters

2006 Sep 15-17 †

36

46

9

9

2002 Oct 3-6

39

41

11

9

National Adults

2006 Sep 15-17 ‡

35

44

9

12

2002 Oct 3-6

37

40

11

12

^

BASED ON –577—LIKELY VOTERS WHO IDENTIFIED AN ISSUE AS MOST IMPORTANT TO THEIR VOTE IN THE ELECTIONS THIS NOVEMBER (±5 PCT. PTS.)

BASED ON –858—REGISTERED VOTERS WHO IDENTIFIED AN ISSUE AS MOST IMPORTANT TO THEIR VOTE IN THE ELECTIONS THIS NOVEMBER (±4 PCT. PTS.)

BASED ON –972—NATIONAL ADULTS WHO IDENTIFIED AN ISSUE AS MOST IMPORTANT TO THEIR VOTE IN THE ELECTIONS THIS NOVEMBER (±4 PCT. PTS.)




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